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Eredivisie · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:30 · Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
WIL 20%X 21%GAE 59%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Go Ahead Eagles lead by 177 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Go Ahead Eagles 0.0, Willem II -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Go Ahead Eagles 1.0 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • If Willem II score first, they win 44% of the time
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.3 – 2.3
Over 2.571%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%5.00X21%4.67259%1.71
Double chance
1X41%2.41X280%1.251279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.571%1.40Under 2.529%3.47BTTS yes67%1.48BTTS no33%3.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Willem II · Columns: Go Ahead Eagles1-2 probability 9.2%

Form

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Head to head

Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II8 August 20264-1
Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II16 March 20251-0
Willem II – Go Ahead Eagles18 August 20242-0
Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II8 April 20224-0
Willem II – Go Ahead Eagles27 November 20210-1