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Eredivisie · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:30 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Twente4th place
PEC 13%X 19%TWE 68%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Twente lead by 222 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.6, PEC Zwolle -0.7.
  • Twente take 1.8 points per game away.
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 37% of the time
  • If Twente score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.3
Over 2.562%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.66X19%5.29268%1.47
Double chance
1X32%3.13X287%1.151281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.62BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PEC Zwolle · Columns: Twente0-2 probability 10.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Twente – PEC Zwolle16 August 20263-1
Twente – PEC Zwolle10 January 20261-1
PEC Zwolle – Twente10 August 20251-0
PEC Zwolle – Twente13 April 20251-1
Twente – PEC Zwolle14 September 20241-1
PEC Zwolle – Twente19 May 20241-2