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Eredivisie · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:30 · Stadion Feyenoord
Feyenoord1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Groningen8th place
FEY 67%X 20%GRO 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 159 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, Groningen -0.2.
  • Last 5 games: Feyenoord 2.2 points per game, Groningen 1.4.
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Groningen score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.5 – 1.0
Over 2.568%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.48X20%5.03213%7.86
Double chance
1X87%1.15X233%3.071280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.568%1.47Under 2.532%3.12BTTS yes60%1.68BTTS no40%2.48

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Feyenoord · Columns: Groningen2-1 probability 9.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Feyenoord – Groningen25 April 20263-1
Groningen – Feyenoord28 September 20250-1
Feyenoord – Groningen2 April 20254-1
Groningen – Feyenoord14 September 20242-2
Feyenoord – Groningen4 March 20231-0
Groningen – Feyenoord15 January 20230-3