TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Eredivisie · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:30 · 711 Stadion
Telstar16th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Excelsior15th place
TEL 47%X 26%EXC 27%

Prediction

  • If Telstar score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Excelsior score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.4
Over 2.562%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Telstar win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.12X26%3.85227%3.74
Double chance
1X73%1.37X253%1.901274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.562%1.61Under 2.538%2.63BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.72

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Telstar · Columns: Excelsior1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Excelsior – Telstar17 January 20262-2
Telstar – Excelsior1 November 20252-2