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Eredivisie · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:30 · Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
HEE 21%X 22%PSV 57%

Prediction

Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 176 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: PSV Eindhoven 1.1, Heerenveen 0.2.
  • If Heerenveen score first, they win 45% of the time
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.4 – 2.3
Over 2.571%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.83X22%4.56257%1.74
Double chance
1X43%2.35X279%1.261278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.571%1.40Under 2.529%3.47BTTS yes68%1.47BTTS no32%3.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Heerenveen · Columns: PSV Eindhoven1-2 probability 9.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen9 October 20262-0
PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen21 February 20263-1
Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven6 December 20250-2
PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen8 March 20252-1
Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven14 December 20241-0
Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven25 April 20240-8