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Eredivisie · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:30 · Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Utrecht12th place
NEC 46%X 26%UTR 28%

Prediction

  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Utrecht score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.4
Over 2.563%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a NEC Nijmegen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.15X26%3.86228%3.62
Double chance
1X72%1.38X254%1.871274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.72BTTS yes64%1.55BTTS no36%2.81

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: NEC Nijmegen · Columns: Utrecht1-1 probability 10.7%

Form

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Head to head

NEC Nijmegen – Utrecht11 February 20261-3
Utrecht – NEC Nijmegen2 November 20251-0
Utrecht – NEC Nijmegen15 March 20250-1
NEC Nijmegen – Utrecht24 November 20241-2
Utrecht – NEC Nijmegen17 March 20241-0
NEC Nijmegen – Utrecht23 September 20233-0