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Eredivisie · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:30 · Cars Jeans Stadion
ADO Den Haag17th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
AZ Alkmaar5th place
ADO 16%X 22%AZ 62%

Prediction

Key factors
  • AZ Alkmaar lead by 182 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: AZ Alkmaar 0.8, ADO Den Haag -0.7.
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 43% of the time
  • If AZ Alkmaar score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.0
Over 2.558%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.13X22%4.64262%1.61
Double chance
1X38%2.64X284%1.191278%1.27
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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2
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5
Rows: ADO Den Haag · Columns: AZ Alkmaar0-2 probability 10.4%

Form

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Head to head

AZ Alkmaar – ADO Den Haag8 August 20262-0