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Eredivisie · Matchday 26Sunday 14 March · 16:00 · Kooi Stadion
Cambuur9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
ADO Den Haag17th place
CAM 49%X 26%ADO 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Cambuur 2.2 points per game, ADO Den Haag 1.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Cambuur -0.1, ADO Den Haag -0.7.
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.5
Over 2.568%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Cambuur win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.05X26%3.86225%3.96
Double chance
1X75%1.34X251%1.951274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.568%1.48Under 2.532%3.08BTTS yes67%1.49BTTS no33%3.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cambuur · Columns: ADO Den Haag1-1 probability 9.7%

Form

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Head to head

ADO Den Haag – Cambuur19 September 20261-1