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Eredivisie · Matchday 26Sunday 14 March · 16:00 · 711 Stadion
Telstar16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
TEL 12%X 17%PSV 71%

Prediction

Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 280 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: PSV Eindhoven 1.1, Telstar -0.7.
  • If Telstar score first, they win 32% of the time
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.2 – 2.9
Over 2.578%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
112%8.11X17%5.90271%1.41
Double chance
1X29%3.42X288%1.141283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.578%1.29Under 2.522%4.51BTTS yes67%1.49BTTS no33%3.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: Telstar · Columns: PSV Eindhoven1-2 probability 8.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Telstar – PSV Eindhoven22 March 20263-1
PSV Eindhoven – Telstar30 August 20250-2