TR
Picks
Eredivisie · Matchday 26Sunday 14 March · 16:00 · De Adelaarshorst
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Feyenoord1st place
GAE 16%X 20%FEY 63%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 228 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, Go Ahead Eagles 0.0.
  • Last 5 games: Feyenoord 2.2 points per game, Go Ahead Eagles 1.0.
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 39% of the time
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.2 – 2.4
Over 2.570%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.19X20%4.91263%1.58
Double chance
1X37%2.74X284%1.191280%1.26
Goals
Over 2.570%1.43Under 2.530%3.32BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Go Ahead Eagles · Columns: Feyenoord1-2 probability 9.4%

Head to head

Feyenoord – Go Ahead Eagles16 August 20262-2
Feyenoord – Go Ahead Eagles15 February 20261-0
Go Ahead Eagles – Feyenoord9 November 20252-1
Feyenoord – Go Ahead Eagles30 March 20253-2
Go Ahead Eagles – Feyenoord19 October 20241-5
Go Ahead Eagles – Feyenoord25 April 20241-3