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Eredivisie · Matchday 26Sunday 14 March · 16:00 · Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Groningen8th place
UTR 41%X 26%GRO 33%

Prediction

  • If Utrecht score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Groningen score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.5
Over 2.563%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Utrecht win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.45X26%3.78233%3.06
Double chance
1X67%1.49X259%1.691274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.69BTTS yes65%1.54BTTS no35%2.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Utrecht · Columns: Groningen1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

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Head to head

Groningen – Utrecht9 August 20262-1
Groningen – Utrecht14 February 20261-2
Utrecht – Groningen14 September 20250-1
Utrecht – Groningen13 April 20253-1
Groningen – Utrecht20 October 20240-1
Groningen – Utrecht7 April 20231-2