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Eredivisie · Matchday 26Sunday 14 March · 16:00 · Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-3High confidence
Twente4th place
WIL 7%X 12%TWE 82%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Twente lead by 373 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.6, Willem II -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Twente 2.0 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • If Willem II score first, they win 22% of the time
  • If Twente score first, they win 92% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals0.8 – 3.0
Over 2.574%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score0-3
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
17%15.36X12%8.45282%1.22
Double chance
1X18%5.45X293%1.071288%1.13
Goals
Over 2.574%1.36Under 2.526%3.79BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no48%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Willem II · Columns: Twente0-3 probability 10.1%

Form

Compare →
TwenteWDLWW

Head to head

Twente – Willem II12 January 20256-2
Willem II – Twente2 November 20240-1
Willem II – Twente22 January 20220-1
Twente – Willem II17 October 20211-1