TR
Picks
Eredivisie · Matchday 17Sunday 20 December · 13:30 · Kooi Stadion
Cambuur9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Groningen8th place
CAM 29%X 26%GRO 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Groningen lead by 104 rating points.
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If Groningen score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.6 – 2.0
Over 2.571%
Both teams score71%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Groningen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.47X26%3.91246%2.19
Double chance
1X54%1.84X271%1.411274%1.34
Goals
Over 2.571%1.41Under 2.529%3.45BTTS yes71%1.42BTTS no29%3.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cambuur · Columns: Groningen1-1 probability 9.0%

Head to head

Groningen – Cambuur26 January 20230-1
Cambuur – Groningen11 September 20220-1
Groningen – Cambuur15 May 20222-3
Cambuur – Groningen15 August 20211-2