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Eredivisie · Matchday 17Saturday 19 December · 20:00 · Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Heerenveen7th place
UTR 40%X 27%HEE 33%

Prediction

  • If Utrecht score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Heerenveen score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Utrecht win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.53X27%3.71233%2.99
Double chance
1X67%1.50X260%1.661273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Utrecht · Columns: Heerenveen1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Heerenveen – Utrecht1 February 20261-1
Utrecht – Heerenveen28 September 20252-2
Utrecht – Heerenveen30 March 20252-0
Heerenveen – Utrecht17 August 20241-1
Heerenveen – Utrecht7 April 20242-3
Utrecht – Heerenveen20 August 20230-2