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Eredivisie · Matchday 17Sunday 20 December · 19:00 · Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
Rinvalo prediction3-1High confidence
PEC Zwolle14th place
PSV 82%X 13%PEC 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 302 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: PSV Eindhoven 1.1, PEC Zwolle -0.7.
  • PSV Eindhoven take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 21% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 1%
Expected goals3.5 – 1.0
Over 2.583%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score3-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
182%1.22X13%7.9126%17.95
Double chance
1X94%1.06X218%5.491287%1.14
Goals
Over 2.583%1.21Under 2.517%5.78BTTS yes62%1.60BTTS no38%2.66

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PSV Eindhoven · Columns: PEC Zwolle3-1 probability 8.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

PSV Eindhoven – PEC Zwolle23 April 20266-1
PEC Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven4 October 20250-4
PEC Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven18 January 20253-1
PSV Eindhoven – PEC Zwolle26 October 20246-0
PEC Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven24 February 20241-7
PSV Eindhoven – PEC Zwolle12 November 20234-0