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Eredivisie · Matchday 17Sunday 20 December · 11:15 · Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
ADO Den Haag17th place
NEC 65%X 21%ADO 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • NEC Nijmegen lead by 132 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: NEC Nijmegen -0.1, ADO Den Haag -0.7.
  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.0
Over 2.564%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.54X21%4.74214%7.11
Double chance
1X86%1.16X235%2.841279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.564%1.57Under 2.536%2.75BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.35

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: NEC Nijmegen · Columns: ADO Den Haag2-1 probability 9.8%

Form

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