TR
Picks
Eredivisie · Matchday 17Sunday 20 December · 13:30 · Stadion Feyenoord
Feyenoord1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Twente4th place
FEY 43%X 27%TWE 30%

Prediction

  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Twente score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.557%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Feyenoord win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.31X27%3.71230%3.37
Double chance
1X70%1.42X257%1.771273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.34BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.52

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Feyenoord · Columns: Twente1-1 probability 11.9%
TwenteWDLWW

Head to head

Twente – Feyenoord1 March 20262-0
Feyenoord – Twente21 December 20251-1
Twente – Feyenoord16 March 20252-6
Feyenoord – Twente6 October 20242-1
Feyenoord – Twente28 January 20240-0
Twente – Feyenoord29 October 20232-1