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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Eredivisie · Matchday 17Friday 18 December · 19:00 · 711 Stadion
Telstar16th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Willem II18th place
TEL 66%X 20%WIL 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Telstar lead by 173 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Telstar 0.8 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • If Telstar score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Willem II score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.5 – 1.1
Over 2.570%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.52X20%4.92214%7.30
Double chance
1X86%1.16X234%2.941280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.570%1.43Under 2.530%3.31BTTS yes62%1.61BTTS no38%2.65

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Telstar · Columns: Willem II2-1 probability 9.4%

Form

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