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Eredivisie · Matchday 14Saturday 28 November · 20:00 · Kooi Stadion
Cambuur9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Sparta Rotterdam11th place
CAM 37%X 27%SPA 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Cambuur 2.2 points per game, Sparta Rotterdam 1.4.
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Sparta Rotterdam score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.8
Over 2.569%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Cambuur win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.70X27%3.77236%2.74
Double chance
1X64%1.57X263%1.591273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.569%1.45Under 2.531%3.21BTTS yes70%1.44BTTS no30%3.29

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cambuur · Columns: Sparta Rotterdam1-1 probability 9.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sparta Rotterdam – Cambuur21 May 20234-1
Cambuur – Sparta Rotterdam21 January 20230-3
Cambuur – Sparta Rotterdam16 January 20221-1
Sparta Rotterdam – Cambuur26 September 20210-4