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Eredivisie · Matchday 14Sunday 29 November · 19:00 · Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Twente4th place
NEC 21%X 23%TWE 56%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Twente lead by 131 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.6, NEC Nijmegen -0.1.
  • Last 5 games: Twente 2.0 points per game, NEC Nijmegen 0.8.
  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 48% of the time
  • If Twente score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.1 – 2.0
Over 2.560%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Twente win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.83X23%4.26256%1.79
Double chance
1X44%2.26X279%1.261277%1.31
Goals
Over 2.560%1.67Under 2.540%2.50BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.45

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: NEC Nijmegen · Columns: Twente1-1 probability 10.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Twente – NEC Nijmegen25 April 20261-1
NEC Nijmegen – Twente18 October 20253-3
Twente – NEC Nijmegen23 February 20252-0
NEC Nijmegen – Twente10 August 20241-2
NEC Nijmegen – Twente20 January 20241-0
Twente – NEC Nijmegen11 November 20233-3