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Eredivisie · Matchday 14Saturday 28 November · 17:45 · Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
Rinvalo prediction3-1High confidence
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
PSV 77%X 15%GAE 8%

Prediction

Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 276 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: PSV Eindhoven 1.1, Go Ahead Eagles 0.0.
  • PSV Eindhoven take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 25% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 1%
Expected goals3.4 – 1.2
Over 2.584%
Both teams score69%
Likeliest score3-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
177%1.30X15%6.5628%12.71
Double chance
1X92%1.09X223%4.331285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.584%1.19Under 2.516%6.22BTTS yes69%1.46BTTS no31%3.19

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PSV Eindhoven · Columns: Go Ahead Eagles3-1 probability 7.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven10 May 20261-4
PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles18 October 20252-1
Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven1 March 20253-2
PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles1 September 20243-0
Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven8 March 20240-1
PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles27 September 20233-0