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Eredivisie · Matchday 14Sunday 29 November · 11:15 · Cars Jeans Stadion
ADO Den Haag17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Utrecht12th place
ADO 25%X 25%UTR 50%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Utrecht lead by 118 rating points.
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 53% of the time
  • If Utrecht score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.8
Over 2.560%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Utrecht win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%3.97X25%3.95250%2.02
Double chance
1X50%1.98X275%1.341275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.560%1.66Under 2.540%2.51BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.58

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: ADO Den Haag · Columns: Utrecht1-1 probability 11.1%

Form

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