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Eredivisie · Matchday 14Saturday 28 November · 15:30 · Van Donge and De Roo Stadion
Excelsior15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Telstar16th place
EXC 38%X 26%TEL 35%

Prediction

  • If Excelsior score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Telstar score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.6
Over 2.562%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Excelsior win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.62X26%3.79235%2.83
Double chance
1X65%1.55X262%1.621274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.61BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Excelsior · Columns: Telstar1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

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Head to head

Excelsior – Telstar17 January 20262-2
Telstar – Excelsior1 November 20252-2