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Eredivisie · Matchday 14Friday 27 November · 19:00 · Euroborg
Groningen8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Willem II18th place
GRO 75%X 16%WIL 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Groningen lead by 246 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Groningen 1.4 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Groningen -0.2, Willem II -1.1.
  • If Groningen score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Willem II score first, they win 28% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.9 – 1.0
Over 2.574%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
175%1.33X16%6.1729%11.76
Double chance
1X92%1.09X225%4.051284%1.19
Goals
Over 2.574%1.36Under 2.526%3.81BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.44

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Groningen · Columns: Willem II2-0 probability 8.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Willem II – Groningen15 February 20251-3
Groningen – Willem II30 November 20242-0
Groningen – Willem II26 February 20221-0
Willem II – Groningen18 September 20212-1