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Eredivisie · Matchday 28Sunday 4 April · 16:00 · Kooi Stadion
Cambuur9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Telstar16th place
CAM 39%X 26%TEL 34%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Cambuur 2.2 points per game, Telstar 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Cambuur -0.1, Telstar -0.7.
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Telstar score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.7
Over 2.569%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Cambuur win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.54X26%3.81234%2.91
Double chance
1X66%1.52X261%1.651274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.569%1.44Under 2.531%3.27BTTS yes70%1.43BTTS no30%3.33

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cambuur · Columns: Telstar1-1 probability 9.5%

Form

Compare →
CambuurDWDWW
TelstarLDLLW

Head to head

Telstar – Cambuur6 September 20262-2