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Eredivisie · Matchday 28Sunday 4 April · 16:00 · Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Fortuna Sittard6th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Feyenoord1st place
FOR 13%X 19%FEY 68%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 198 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, Fortuna Sittard -1.3.
  • Feyenoord take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 36% of the time
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.3
Over 2.564%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.64X19%5.34268%1.47
Double chance
1X32%3.14X287%1.151281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.564%1.57Under 2.536%2.76BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.26

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fortuna Sittard · Columns: Feyenoord0-2 probability 10.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Feyenoord – Fortuna Sittard31 October 20261-1
Fortuna Sittard – Feyenoord3 May 20261-2
Feyenoord – Fortuna Sittard17 September 20252-0
Fortuna Sittard – Feyenoord12 April 20250-2
Feyenoord – Fortuna Sittard30 November 20241-1
Fortuna Sittard – Feyenoord14 April 20240-1