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Eredivisie · Matchday 28Sunday 4 April · 16:00 · De Adelaarshorst
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
NEC Nijmegen13th place
GAE 36%X 26%NEC 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • NEC Nijmegen lead by 66 rating points.
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.7
Over 2.566%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a NEC Nijmegen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.78X26%3.86238%2.62
Double chance
1X62%1.62X264%1.561274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.566%1.52Under 2.534%2.93BTTS yes67%1.48BTTS no33%3.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Go Ahead Eagles · Columns: NEC Nijmegen1-1 probability 10.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

NEC Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles20 September 20261-1
NEC Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles17 May 20262-1
Go Ahead Eagles – NEC Nijmegen5 October 20251-1
NEC Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles9 March 20252-3
Go Ahead Eagles – NEC Nijmegen7 December 20245-0
Go Ahead Eagles – NEC Nijmegen28 January 20242-2