TR
Picks
Eredivisie · Matchday 22Sunday 14 February · 16:00 · Kooi Stadion
Cambuur9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Utrecht12th place
CAM 31%X 26%UTR 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Utrecht lead by 86 rating points.
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Utrecht score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.7 – 2.0
Over 2.570%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Utrecht win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.27X26%3.83243%2.31
Double chance
1X57%1.76X269%1.441274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.570%1.42Under 2.530%3.39BTTS yes70%1.42BTTS no30%3.38

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cambuur · Columns: Utrecht1-1 probability 9.2%
CambuurDWDWW
UtrechtLWWDL

Head to head

Cambuur – Utrecht6 May 20230-3
Utrecht – Cambuur13 August 20220-0
Utrecht – Cambuur5 February 20223-2
Cambuur – Utrecht21 November 20212-1