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Eredivisie · Matchday 22Sunday 14 February · 16:00 · 711 Stadion
Telstar16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Heerenveen7th place
TEL 31%X 26%HEE 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Heerenveen lead by 103 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Heerenveen 2.4 points per game, Telstar 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Heerenveen 0.2, Telstar -0.7.
  • If Telstar score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Heerenveen score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Heerenveen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.27X26%3.80243%2.32
Double chance
1X57%1.76X269%1.441274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.558%1.74Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.54

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Telstar · Columns: Heerenveen1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Heerenveen – Telstar13 September 20260-0
Heerenveen – Telstar14 March 20263-0
Telstar – Heerenveen19 October 20252-3