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Eredivisie · Matchday 22Sunday 14 February · 16:00 · Stadion Feyenoord
Feyenoord1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
NEC Nijmegen13th place
FEY 68%X 20%NEC 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 162 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, NEC Nijmegen -0.1.
  • Last 5 games: Feyenoord 2.2 points per game, NEC Nijmegen 0.8.
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.0
Over 2.567%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.47X20%5.07212%8.03
Double chance
1X88%1.14X232%3.111280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.567%1.49Under 2.533%3.03BTTS yes59%1.71BTTS no41%2.41

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Feyenoord · Columns: NEC Nijmegen2-1 probability 9.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

NEC Nijmegen – Feyenoord5 September 20261-3
NEC Nijmegen – Feyenoord12 April 20261-1
Feyenoord – NEC Nijmegen23 November 20252-4
Feyenoord – NEC Nijmegen1 March 20250-0
NEC Nijmegen – Feyenoord28 September 20241-1
NEC Nijmegen – Feyenoord12 May 20242-3