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Eredivisie · Matchday 22Sunday 14 February · 16:00 · Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Twente4th place
PSV 46%X 26%TWE 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 79 rating points.
  • PSV Eindhoven take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Twente score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.5
Over 2.568%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a PSV Eindhoven win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.18X26%3.88228%3.54
Double chance
1X72%1.39X254%1.851274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.568%1.48Under 2.532%3.10BTTS yes68%1.47BTTS no32%3.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PSV Eindhoven · Columns: Twente1-1 probability 9.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Twente – PSV Eindhoven20 September 20263-2
PSV Eindhoven – Twente17 May 20265-1
Twente – PSV Eindhoven17 August 20250-2
Twente – PSV Eindhoven24 April 20251-3
PSV Eindhoven – Twente6 December 20246-1
PSV Eindhoven – Twente17 March 20241-0