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Eredivisie · Matchday 22Sunday 14 February · 16:00 · Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Fortuna Sittard6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
ADO Den Haag17th place
FOR 48%X 27%ADO 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fortuna Sittard lead by 96 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Fortuna Sittard 1.8 points per game, ADO Den Haag 1.0.
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.554%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Fortuna Sittard win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.06X27%3.72225%4.06
Double chance
1X75%1.33X252%1.941273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.18BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.31

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fortuna Sittard · Columns: ADO Den Haag1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

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Head to head

ADO Den Haag – Fortuna Sittard6 September 20262-3