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Eredivisie · Matchday 22Sunday 14 February · 16:00 · De Adelaarshorst
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
PEC Zwolle14th place
GAE 53%X 25%PEC 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Go Ahead Eagles 0.0, PEC Zwolle -0.7.
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.3
Over 2.563%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Go Ahead Eagles win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.89X25%4.01222%4.54
Double chance
1X78%1.28X247%2.131275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.71BTTS yes62%1.60BTTS no38%2.67

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Go Ahead Eagles · Columns: PEC Zwolle1-1 probability 10.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

PEC Zwolle – Go Ahead Eagles18 October 20264-1
Go Ahead Eagles – PEC Zwolle5 April 20265-0
PEC Zwolle – Go Ahead Eagles21 September 20250-2
PEC Zwolle – Go Ahead Eagles11 May 20251-1
Go Ahead Eagles – PEC Zwolle3 November 20242-2
Go Ahead Eagles – PEC Zwolle11 February 20241-1