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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 44Wednesday 21 April · 19:45 · Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff City17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
QPR9th place
CAR 35%X 27%QPR 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • QPR lead by 81 rating points.
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If QPR score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.89X27%3.68238%2.61
Double chance
1X62%1.62X265%1.531273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.18BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.41

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cardiff City · Columns: QPR1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

Compare →
QPRDWLWL

Head to head

QPR – Cardiff City2 September 20262-1
QPR – Cardiff City5 April 20250-0
Cardiff City – QPR27 November 20240-2
QPR – Cardiff City1 January 20241-2
Cardiff City – QPR12 August 20231-2
Cardiff City – QPR26 December 20220-0