TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 45Saturday 24 April · 15:00 · Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff City17th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
West Bromwich Albion5th place
CAR 32%X 28%WBA 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Bromwich Albion lead by 111 rating points.
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a West Bromwich Albion win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.09X28%3.60240%2.51
Double chance
1X60%1.66X268%1.481272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cardiff City · Columns: West Bromwich Albion1-1 probability 13.5%

Head to head

Cardiff City – West Bromwich Albion26 April 20250-0
West Bromwich Albion – Cardiff City26 October 20240-0
West Bromwich Albion – Cardiff City13 February 20242-0
Cardiff City – West Bromwich Albion28 November 20230-1
Cardiff City – West Bromwich Albion15 March 20231-1
West Bromwich Albion – Cardiff City17 August 20220-0