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Championship · Matchday 45Saturday 24 April · 15:00 · Carrow Road
Norwich City15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Blackburn Rovers13th place
NOR 54%X 26%BLB 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Norwich City -0.1, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.551%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.84X26%3.90220%5.01
Double chance
1X80%1.25X246%2.191274%1.34
Goals
Over 2.551%1.96Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.09

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Norwich City · Columns: Blackburn Rovers1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Norwich City – Blackburn Rovers7 February 20262-0
Blackburn Rovers – Norwich City30 August 20250-2
Blackburn Rovers – Norwich City1 March 20251-1
Norwich City – Blackburn Rovers17 August 20242-2
Blackburn Rovers – Norwich City24 February 20241-1
Norwich City – Blackburn Rovers5 November 20231-3