MID 59%X 23%WHU 18%
Prediction
Key factors
- Middlesbrough lead by 97 rating points.
- Last 5 games: Middlesbrough 2.6 points per game, West Ham 1.4.
- Middlesbrough take 2.3 points per game at home.
- If Middlesbrough score first, they win 80% of the time
- If West Ham score first, they win 43% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.3
Over 2.569%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.69X23%4.37218%5.56
Double chance
1X82%1.22X241%2.451277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.569%1.44Under 2.531%3.26BTTS yes65%1.53BTTS no35%2.88
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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Rows: Middlesbrough · Columns: West Ham2-1 probability 9.4%
Middlesbrough1st place
West Ham8th place