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Championship · Matchday 45Saturday 24 April · 15:00 · bet365 Stadium
Stoke City7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Lincoln City16th place
STK 49%X 28%LIN 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Stoke City 2.0 points per game, Lincoln City 0.8.
  • Stoke City lead by 62 rating points.
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.548%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Stoke City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.06X28%3.64224%4.19
Double chance
1X76%1.31X251%1.951272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stoke City · Columns: Lincoln City1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

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