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Championship · Matchday 45Saturday 24 April · 15:00 · Fratton Park
Portsmouth11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Preston North End24th place
POR 56%X 26%PNE 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Portsmouth lead by 150 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Portsmouth 2.2 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.546%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.78X26%3.86218%5.61
Double chance
1X82%1.22X244%2.291274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.546%2.17Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes47%2.12BTTS no53%1.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Portsmouth · Columns: Preston North End1-0 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Preston North End – Portsmouth7 February 20261-0
Portsmouth – Preston North End30 August 20251-0
Preston North End – Portsmouth15 March 20252-1
Portsmouth – Preston North End9 November 20243-1