TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 45Saturday 24 April · 15:00 · The Valley
Charlton Athletic20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Wrexham18th place
CHA 33%X 29%WRE 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Wrexham lead by 94 rating points.
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.544%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Wrexham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.07X29%3.43238%2.61
Double chance
1X62%1.62X267%1.481271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.26Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Charlton Athletic · Columns: Wrexham1-1 probability 13.8%

Head to head

Charlton Athletic – Wrexham28 February 20260-1
Wrexham – Charlton Athletic8 November 20251-0