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Primeira Liga · Matchday 34Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Casa Pia17th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Académico de Viseu6th place
CPA 33%X 28%ACV 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Académico de Viseu 3.0 points per game, Casa Pia 1.2.
  • Académico de Viseu lead by 107 rating points.
  • Académico de Viseu take 2.2 points per game away.
  • If Casa Pia score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Académico de Viseu win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.00X28%3.53238%2.61
Double chance
1X62%1.62X267%1.501272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.545%2.24Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Casa Pia · Columns: Académico de Viseu1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

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