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Primeira Liga · Matchday 34Sunday 16 May · 16:00 · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Estoril18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Estrela Amadora12th place
EST 40%X 28%EAM 32%

Prediction

  • If Estoril score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Estrela Amadora score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.553%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Estoril win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.50X28%3.54232%3.14
Double chance
1X68%1.47X260%1.671272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.553%1.88Under 2.547%2.14BTTS yes58%1.74BTTS no42%2.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Estoril · Columns: Estrela Amadora1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Estrela Amadora – Estoril19 January 20260-5
Estoril – Estrela Amadora11 August 20251-1
Estoril – Estrela Amadora17 May 20254-0
Estrela Amadora – Estoril5 January 20252-4
Estoril – Estrela Amadora4 February 20241-0
Estrela Amadora – Estoril25 August 20232-1