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La Liga · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Real Sociedad5th place
CEL 44%X 28%RSO 29%

Prediction

  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Celta Vigo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.30X28%3.59229%3.50
Double chance
1X71%1.40X256%1.771272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.08BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celta Vigo · Columns: Real Sociedad1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

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Head to head

Real Sociedad – Celta Vigo3 September 20260-0
Real Sociedad – Celta Vigo25 January 20263-1
Celta Vigo – Real Sociedad19 October 20251-1
Real Sociedad – Celta Vigo13 May 20250-1
Celta Vigo – Real Sociedad21 December 20242-0
Celta Vigo – Real Sociedad20 January 20240-1