TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 16:00 · Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Osasuna15th place
VIL 61%X 23%OSA 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Villarreal lead by 123 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Osasuna 0.1.
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.558%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Villarreal win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.64X23%4.34216%6.27
Double chance
1X84%1.19X239%2.561277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.558%1.74Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Villarreal · Columns: Osasuna1-1 probability 10.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Osasuna – Villarreal31 January 20262-2
Villarreal – Osasuna20 September 20252-1
Villarreal – Osasuna3 May 20254-2
Osasuna – Villarreal24 November 20242-2
Osasuna – Villarreal25 May 20241-1
Villarreal – Osasuna26 November 20233-1