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La Liga · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 16:00 · Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Real Betis4th place
RAY 41%X 27%BET 32%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rayo Vallecano take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Rayo Vallecano win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.45X27%3.67232%3.13
Double chance
1X68%1.47X259%1.691273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rayo Vallecano · Columns: Real Betis1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

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Rayo Vallecano – Real Betis15 December 20250-0
Rayo Vallecano – Real Betis15 May 20252-2
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Rayo Vallecano – Real Betis17 March 20242-0
Real Betis – Rayo Vallecano2 September 20231-0