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La Liga · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 16:00 · Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Elche17th place
VAL 44%X 28%ELC 28%

Prediction

  • If Valencia score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Elche score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Valencia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.28X28%3.51228%3.61
Double chance
1X72%1.38X256%1.781272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Valencia · Columns: Elche1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →
ElcheWDDWL

Head to head

Elche – Valencia1 November 20260-1
Elche – Valencia11 April 20261-0
Valencia – Elche10 January 20261-1
Elche – Valencia23 April 20230-2
Valencia – Elche15 October 20222-2
Elche – Valencia19 March 20220-1