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La Liga · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Deportivo8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Espanyol14th place
DEP 45%X 29%ESP 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Deportivo 0.2, Espanyol -0.5.
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Deportivo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.22X29%3.50226%3.79
Double chance
1X74%1.36X255%1.821271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.543%2.31Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Deportivo · Columns: Espanyol1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

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