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La Liga · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 16:00 · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Getafe12th place
SEV 46%X 30%GET 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sevilla take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Getafe score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.538%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.15X30%3.38224%4.18
Double chance
1X76%1.31X254%1.871270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.538%2.65Under 2.562%1.61BTTS yes44%2.29BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sevilla · Columns: Getafe1-0 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →
SevillaLDLWL
GetafeWLDLW

Head to head

Getafe – Sevilla1 November 20263-1
Getafe – Sevilla22 February 20260-1
Sevilla – Getafe25 August 20251-2
Getafe – Sevilla1 February 20250-0
Sevilla – Getafe14 September 20241-0
Getafe – Sevilla30 March 20240-1