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Premier League · Matchday 31Saturday 10 April · 15:00 · Stamford Bridge
Chelsea4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Fulham15th place
CHE 47%X 28%FUL 26%

Prediction

  • If Chelsea score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Fulham score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.551%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Chelsea win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.14X28%3.63226%3.91
Double chance
1X74%1.34X253%1.881272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.05BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Chelsea · Columns: Fulham1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

Compare →
ChelseaLWWLW
FulhamDLWWD

Head to head

Fulham – Chelsea24 August 20262-3
Fulham – Chelsea7 January 20262-1
Chelsea – Fulham30 August 20252-0
Fulham – Chelsea20 April 20251-2
Chelsea – Fulham26 December 20241-2
Chelsea – Fulham13 January 20241-0