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Premier League · Matchday 31Saturday 10 April · 15:00 · Elland Road
Leeds United11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Nottingham Forest19th place
LEE 39%X 29%NFO 31%

Prediction

  • If Leeds United score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.542%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Leeds United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.54X29%3.41231%3.20
Double chance
1X69%1.45X261%1.651271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.542%2.39Under 2.558%1.72BTTS yes49%2.06BTTS no51%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Leeds United · Columns: Nottingham Forest1-1 probability 14.0%

Form

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Head to head

Nottingham Forest – Leeds United22 August 20260-1
Leeds United – Nottingham Forest6 February 20263-1
Nottingham Forest – Leeds United9 November 20253-1
Leeds United – Nottingham Forest4 April 20232-1
Nottingham Forest – Leeds United5 February 20231-0